Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 75.3% of his field goals when playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
While on the road, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Toronto may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are the visiting squad (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Raptors is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 6th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (31.8%).
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has sunk just 55.1% of his foul shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 76.6 mark last season.

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