Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 75.9% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This matchup is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the other team have shot for the highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (50.3%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Kings are playing at home, their opposition have attempted a monstrous 25.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the league).

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