Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 73.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has sunk 92.9% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 21.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Nets may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Boston Celtics rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a difficult one for field goals; when the Nets are on the road, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 12th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).