Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 73.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when the Cavaliers are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.0).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has sunk 92.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 21.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on his home court.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Boston Celtics check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).