Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 73.7% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing away from home.
The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.1 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are playing at home (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The matchup against the Knicks is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 13th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).