Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has converted 73.7% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.
Robert Williams III has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on the road.
The matchup vs. Indiana may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers are at home (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.2).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance across the board.