Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has converted 77.1% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Robert Williams III has tallied 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup against Xavier Tillman is a good one for shots from the field; when Tillman is playing on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 66.5% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has converted just 53.8% of his free throws this season, quite a bit lower than his 76.6 mark last season.
The matchup vs. Xavier Tillman is a hard one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game (4th percentile).

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