Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 5.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Robert Williams III has tallied 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics.
The matchup vs. Mark Williams is a positive one for drawing fouls; when Williams is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.9 foul shots per game (89th percentile).

Favors Under

The matchup against Mark Williams is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a measly 20.1% of their three-point shots (3rd percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has sunk a lowly 59.2% of his foul shots this season, significantly lower than his 76.6 rate last season.

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