Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 81.3% of his shot attempts from the field playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
This matchup is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (31.2).
The Suns have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a whopping 18.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 7th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing on the road, the Suns have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has converted a measly 60.2% of his free throws this season, quite a bit less than his 76.6 rate last season.

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