Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 80.6% of his field goals while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Robert Williams III has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games at home (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has converted a mere 55.2% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 76.6 rate last season.
The Nets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 28.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls: 9th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.7 foul shots per game.

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