Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 80.6% of his field goal attempts with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Robert Williams III has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
The Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Lakers.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 21.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games away from his home court (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has successfully made a measly 55.2% of his free throws this season, quite a bit lower than his 76.6 mark last season.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Lakers is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 10th-least shots from downtown per game in the league over the last 15 games (0.5).

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