Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made a whopping 86.5% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly higher than his 73.7 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Bulls have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has converted a mere 68.8% of his free throws this season, a sizeable decrease from his 76.6 rate last season.
Robert Williams III has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (92nd percentile).
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for three-pointers; while playing on the road, opposing clubs have shot for the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.1%).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs since the start of last season (13.1).

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