Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 74.7% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Robert Williams III has sunk 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's sunk overall this year.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year without the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 21.7 free throws per game since the start of last season (9th-most in the league).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for attempts from downtown; with the home court advantage, opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (31.7).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; opposing teams have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (48.1%).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
Robert Williams III will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all stat categories.