Robert Williams III Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2023

Updated Apr 28, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has averaged just 23.1 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 27.7 minutes per game last year.
Robert Williams III has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production across the board.

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