Robert Williams III Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+141/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Celtics.
The Hawks have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has tallied a mere 22.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 27.7 minutes per game last year.
Robert Williams III has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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