Robert Williams III Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Assists

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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