Robert Williams III Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Assists

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (85th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
Robert Williams III will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance across the board.

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