RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has tallied 4.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The New York Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied a mere 29.2 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 34.0 minutes per game last season.
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 13.3 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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