RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the New York Knicks.
The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the other team has come down with 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied a mere 28.7 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 33.4 minutes per game last season.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production across the board.

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