RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged an impressive 31.8 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 34.3 minutes per game last season.
RJ Barrett has been called for a lowly 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.8 fouls per game last season.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).
RJ Barrett will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has put up a lowly 3.1 defensive boards per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.2 defensive boards per game last season.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
The New York Knicks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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