RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 5.4 rebounds per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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