RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has compiled 4.2 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 84th percentile.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Heat have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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