RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has totaled 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 85th percentile.
RJ Barrett has played 32.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

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