RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 5.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player production across the board.

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