RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has posted 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 0.5 more than he's posted overall this year.
RJ Barrett has played 33.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 0.2 more than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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