RJ Barrett Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+128/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has put up 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 0.5 higher than he's put up overall this season.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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