RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 17.0 shots per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has tallied 32.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The 2nd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the league while playing at home with 16.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
As it relates to offense, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 104.6 points per game while on their home court ranks 3rd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Charlotte Hornets).
In comparison to last season's 70.7% rate, RJ Barrett's foul-shot prowess has regressed this season to 59.5%.

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