RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has converted 52.5% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a good one for three-point shots; when the Phoenix Suns are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.1%).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
RJ Barrett will likely get a boost in productivity in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 8 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Raptors.
RJ Barrett has sunk just 60.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 70.7 rate last year.

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