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RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • RJ Barrett has converted 47.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
  • RJ Barrett has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
  • This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • RJ Barrett has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The 7th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
  • The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Heat).
  • RJ Barrett has converted a lowly 59.9% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 70.7 mark last year.

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