RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has converted 60.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
RJ Barrett has successfully made 60.9% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 23.2% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 104.8 points per game while at home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

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