RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has tallied 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have registered 18.9 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has shot and missed 9.7 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.7 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.4 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).
Relative to last year's 1.4 clip, RJ Barrett's off-target free throws have increased this year to 1.8 per game.

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