RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.3 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett places in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Warriors, making this a good matchup.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games at home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 4th-best in in the league while playing at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 7.7 rate, RJ Barrett's off-target shots have spiked this year to 9.8 per game.
The Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, struggling to get to the foul line.

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