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RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • RJ Barrett has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.3 mark last year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett places in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year.
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Warriors, making this a good matchup.
  • The Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games at home.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 4th-best in in the league while playing at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last year's 7.7 rate, RJ Barrett's off-target shots have spiked this year to 9.8 per game.
  • The Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
  • The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, struggling to get to the foul line.

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