RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 18.5 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 15.2 rate last season.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit more than his 4.3 mark last season.
RJ Barrett has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 33.3% on field goal attempts (worst in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, making this a challenging matchup.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Knicks).
The matchup vs. the Knicks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA).
RJ Barrett stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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