RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 7:44 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 15.2 mark, RJ Barrett's shots have spiked this year to 18.7 per game.
RJ Barrett has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 2.8 clip, RJ Barrett's bricked threes have spiked this season to 3.9 per game.
The Raptors check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have scored 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the league).

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