RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett ranks in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 5.8 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett has attempted 9.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 7.7 rate, RJ Barrett's bricked field goals have jumped this season to 10.1 per game.
The Toronto Raptors have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year in regard to three-point attempts.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

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