RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 5.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a positive matchup.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 7.7 rate, RJ Barrett's bricked field goals have risen this season to 10.6 per game.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Raptors.

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