RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett places in the 95th percentile for shots from the field away from home, totaling 18.1 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett lands in the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, registering 6.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Heat is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).
The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a positive one for three-pointers; when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year, they have made an enormous 43.8% of their three-pointers (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Raptors's lackluster 107.6 points per game measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.
RJ Barrett stands to experience a decrease in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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