RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+102/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett rates in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 5.9 per game this year.
RJ Barrett has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett has attempted 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has missed 11.0 field goal attempts per game this season, significantly more than his 7.7 mark last season.
In regard to offense, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 106.4 points per game rates 5th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 9.1 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

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