RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 19.2 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 15.2 mark last year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett has attempted 9.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (27.6%).
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
RJ Barrett will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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