RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 19.3 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 15.2 rate last year.
Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett lands in the 80th percentile for shot attempts from downtown on the road, posting 5.7 per game this year.
RJ Barrett has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Raptors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Raptors's feeble 104.2 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the 6th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.
RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production across the board.

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