RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 12:49 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 18.9 shots per game this season, significantly more than his 15.2 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett lands in the 84th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 6.3 per game this year.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Raptors's subpar 98.6 points per game rates weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league in their home city this year, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.
RJ Barrett figures to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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