RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has sunk 8.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has converted 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's converted overall this year.
RJ Barrett has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have put up the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (55.8%).
The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Raptors's feeble 111.6 points per game at home settles in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The Raptors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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