RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has successfully made 7.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has made 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year.
The matchup against Boston is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 12th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (38.1%).
The Celtics have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league on the road this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Raptors.
Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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