RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has successfully made 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has averaged 30.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The matchup against Utah is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Jazz are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.3).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Raptors's lackluster 35.6% rate of made threes places 9th-fewest in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett stands to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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