RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett slots into the 86th percentile, posting a whopping 18.3 points per game this year.
RJ Barrett has averaged 29.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has successfully made 1.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 lower than he's made overall this season while playing away from home.
RJ Barrett has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Raptors check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have scored 9.9 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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