RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 5:33 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team has averaged 26.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The New York Knicks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 11thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's feeble 46.6% field goal rate settles in as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 27.6 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

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