RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 14.3 shots per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 23rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.9).
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has averaged a measly 29.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 34.0 minutes per game last season.
RJ Barrett has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
When it comes to offense, the Knicks's feeble 46.7% field goal rate places 9th-fewest in the league this year.
RJ Barrett figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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