RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 5:19 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett rates in the 85th percentile, totaling an enormous 18.3 points per game this year.
RJ Barrett has attempted 4.9 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for field goals; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0).
The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the New York Knicks's feeble 46.3% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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