RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett comes in at the 86th percentile for shots, averaging 15.3 per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the New York Knicks.
The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the other team has come down with 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied a mere 28.7 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 33.4 minutes per game last season.
In terms of offense, the Knicks's subpar 46.3% field goal percentage settles in as the 9th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production across the board.

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