RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 18.9 points per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
RJ Barrett has averaged a lowly 1.5 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.4 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.9).
The New York Knicks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
RJ Barrett has converted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 33.4 clip, RJ Barrett's playing time has been reduced this year to 28.7 minutes per game.
The New York Knicks have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have secured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

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